A 1,000 year flood is used to designate an extremely rare flood event whose chance of occurring in any given year is only 0.1 percent which is 1/10th of 1 percent!
And yet according to an article at The Environmental Defense Fund (EDF), in 2016 the United States saw 5 such events occur just with the span of one 5 month period within the 5 states of Texas, West Virginia, Maryland, Louisiana, and South Carolina.
The extremely low probability assigned to a 1,000 year flood events is based on past data, meaning these predictions are based on how things have gone in the past, however if last year is any indication of what’s to come in the future then things are definitely not as they used to be! The EDF article adds that “We may already have shifted so far into a new climate regime that probabilities have been turned on their head” and as a result we can expect climate change to “supercharge” the storms of the future.
“We may already have shifted so far into a new climate regime that probabilities have been turned on their head”
According to weather.com “while it’s not yet known if climate change is to blame for each individual extreme rain event this year, studies have shown that heavy, intense rainfall is happening more frequently, and that means we’re more likely to see these 1-in-1,000-year rains as the planet warms.”
“Studies have shown that heavy, intense rainfall is happening more frequently, and that means we’re more likely to see these 1-in-1,000-year rains as the planet warms”
Whether you believe in climate change or not, globally average temperature are demonstrably on the rise, and as the oceans heat up and evaporation increases the amount of moisture in the atmosphere available for storms magnifies the power of the storm cycles we have been used to.
In fact according to the National Climate Assessment, their research finds that “Heavy downpours are increasing nationally, especially over the last three to five decades” with some regions seeing increases as high as 71%! And they project “continued increases in extreme precipitation” for all regions of the U.S.”
While the data on heavy rainfall and 1 in 1000 year flood events is certainly consistent with the effects of increasing global temperatures, many Christians also find the sharp increase consistent with kind of changes expected to precede the Second Coming of Christ.
Luke 21:25 and 26 explains that there will be “on the earth distress of nations in perplexity because of the roaring of the sea and the waves, men will faint from fear and anxiety over what is coming upon the earth, for the powers of the heavens will be shaken.”
However you choose to interpret these events one conclusion seems inescapable, the world is changing, and quickly.